Saturday, February 11, 2012

Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited = RESULTS FOR Q3 FY 2012 = Q/E DEC, 2011 = SALES STAGNANT = COSTS HIGH = SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS MODEL NEEDED


Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited

NSE Symbol        MTNL

The quarterly Results of  Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited for the third quarter ending Dec,2011 are as can be predicted of it, based on the general fortunes of this PSU telecom company for quite some time.

The results table is given below :

Net Sales is stagnant at around Rs.852 cr.

Despite the claims of MTNL for reducing the Staff (Number), the staff cost itself is almost equal to the Net Sales.  

Depreciation + other expenditure is more than the Net Sales income by itself.

Landline revenue for the 3rd quarter has dropped by 11.03% to Rs 678.27 cr from Rs 762.44 cr in the earlier corresponding period. Revenue from mobile services grew nearly 11% to Rs 180.94 cr from Rs 163.07 cr in the earlier corresponding quarter. Landline Revenue is 4 times of the Mobile services Revenue – but is falling continuously. When we analyze the Mobile Potential in the 2 cities and the competition therein – we find that any amount of increase in Mobile Revenue (in Mumbai and Delhi) may not be sufficient to meet the present expenditure levels – unless, Landline Revenue is sustained and improved seriously and quickly.

Loss from Operation is continuing – and is at Rs.704 Cr for Q/E Dec,2011.

Interest Expense is increasing steadily and is at Rs.259 cr this quarter. Loss before Tax  is a staggering Rs.943.88 Cr.

Net Loss is Rs.929.77 Cr.

Basic EPS in the last 5 Quarters is Rs(-)14.76 in Q3FY 12; Rs(-)13.72 in Q2 FY 12; Rs(-)13.49 in Q1 FY 12; Rs(-)17.45 in Q4 FY 11; Rs(-)10.65 in Q3 FY 11.
It seems to need loan re-structuring in view of the cash crunch being faced by it.

Net Loss in the last 3 years has been increasing gradually .It was Rs(-) 2801.92 Cr in FY 11; Rs(-)2610.97 Cr in FY 10; Rs.(+)211.72 Cr in FY 09.

In current year, the loss so far is Rs(-)929.77 cr; for Q3 + Rs(-)864.19 for Q2 + Rs(-)850.04 for Q1 =Rs.2644 Cr. With a similar loss in Q4 – the total loss of FY 2012 will be around Rs.3550 Cr.

The Management has to work out a PLAN and a Business Model – which can sustain the company and make it profitable. And, this must be done VERY QUICKLY.

While Merger with BSNL is a possible solution - BSNL itself has started incurring LOSSES and needs a sustainable Business Model for itself.

RESULTS TABLE


MTNL
31-Dec-11
30-Sep-11
30-Jun-11
31-Mar-11
31-Dec-10
Net Sales
85209.7
86064.7
81318.2
80776.2
92252.2
Other Oprtng Income
2267.2
3539.3
2983.4
4725.2
2870.6
Employees Cost
82326.2
80116.5
84787.4
92947.5
81285.1
Depreciation
36816
35866.1
35641.2
36801.4
36063.1
Other Expenditure
38744.6
37813.3
32772.3
41121.3
43357.7
Total Expenditure
157886.8
153795.9
153200.9
170870.2
160705.9
Profit from Operations
-70409.9
-64191.9
-68899.3
-85368.8
-65583.1
Other Income
1959.3
1301.7
2490.1
-10094.9
11679.4
Interest
25937.7
23503.8
18589.6
14423.6
13598.3
Profit  before tax
-94388.3
-86394
-84998.8
-109887.3
-67502
Tax expense
4.8
4.7
4.8
4.5
4.6
NPT after tax
-94393.1
-86398.7
-85003.6
-109891.8
-67506.6
Extraordinary Items
-1415.8
19.8
0.6
66.1
-402
Net Profit
-92977.3
-86418.5
-85004.2
-109957.9
-67104.6
Face Value (In Rs
10
10
10
10
10
Paid Up Equity
63000
63000
63000
63000
63000
Basic EPS
-14.76
-13.72
-13.49
-17.45
-10.65
Public holding (%)
43.75
43.75
43.75
43.75
43.75

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