Monday, January 31, 2011

INVESTOR EDUCATION SERIES = WHEN STOCK MARKET CRASHES = WHAT SHOULD YOU AS INVESTOR, DO?


STOCK MARKET CRASH

WHAT SHOULD INVESTORS DO?


Stock Markets in India are on a downward trend right now. The indices are plunging.

Almost every stock is registering  lower and lower prices daily.

There is selling pressure in the market.

Now – what should a medium to long term Investor do?

Dear Investor,

I am finding many mails of this nature spamming my mail box.

It is becoming typical paranoid mind-set.

A healthy stock market comprises of Bulls and bears in at last equal numbers – with bulls being slightly more.

Look at just a few of the Positives of India now :

Indian Economy, is registering one of the Highest rates of Growth in the world.

In current Results season, a very large number of companies have already produced sterling quality of results – with excellent to extraordinary rates of Growth.

Monsoons have been more than ordinary. They are very Good and current year will produce more agricultural products than last year.

Demand for consumer products is registering healthy rates of growth.

Demand for capital goods and industrial products also is registering healthy rates of growth.

Can there be more positive news for a Stock Market?

The only Negative factors as I see are –

(i)               Food Inflation : For food inflation, I lay the blame squarely on the doors of the Food Ministries at the centre and in the states. Look at Aviation Ministry. When Airlines increased prices, Sri Praful Patel immediately warned them to keep prices down – and they did comply. But, the Food Ministries are in no mood to fix some upper price levels for at least essential commodities. And warn traders not to exceed them. Some body sent me an SMS that an essential commodity like onion (Rs.65 per KG), comforts like Petrol (Rs.65 per litre) and luxuries like Beer (Rs.65 per bottle) are all selling at the same prices – and yet Government is unwilling to ACT. They are making ASTROLOGICAL PREDICTIONS that some time in future, prices will come down. Stronger action is needed from them against price hikers and hoarders.
(ii)            FIIS vs DIIs/MFs : FIIs are not participating in big numbers at the moment. But, I do expect them to return back to Indian Market soon. This is one major reason for prices crashing. I strongly feel that the health of our stock Market should not depend so much on FII participation. A Healthy market should depend more on Indian participation. Unfortunately, the Indian Investor does not seem to be getting adequate Net returns from our DIIs and MFs. I always find our DIIs/MFs rewarding themselves and their Agents very heavily – and leaving the investor  who is putting his hard-earned money  in the lurch. Very few DIIs/MFs are actually determined to reward Investors first – before they reward themselves and their Agents. Agents are important – but not before the INVESTORS, whose money is shared by all these people. Every time an Investor incurs huge losses in the Market, he tends to go out – never to return. SEBI / IRDA must look at how much the Investor is getting vis a vis the DIIS/MFS and their Agents, and ensure a Fair and decent return to the Investor. If only the Focus of the regulators (SEBI /IRDA) and the DIIs /MFs is on ensuring a decent return to ACTUAL INVESTOR, our market will be a lot stronger.
(iii)          MOOD CHECK : The moment we catch a cold, we feel we have the worst possible disease in us. This is true of Indian stock Market especially. If X starts selling, Y follows X, Z follows Y and a spree of selling starts. Bad news – sorry, Bad rumours spread too fast. This mood needs reversal – especially because, many companies have performed excellently and some extraordinarily. Some naturally performed below par.
(iv)          When Markets come down – let us remember that this market is bound to go up again. This was what happened at 2009 beginning too. That was a Great opportunity to BUY. Now also is an opportunity to BUY - for medium / long term Investors. Let us start accumulating at current lower prices. My strong opinion -  to medium / long term Investors is – read Warren Buffet again. Look at companies which have produced excellent results. Invest in them NOW. Don’t fall for the SELL, SELL, SELL mania that is spreading unnecessarily. FIIs will come, other investors will come, markets will go up again. It has always done that.
(v)            Do tell me, your opinion please.
(vi)          Good Luck, Medium / Long term Investor!

PS : SEE THE NEXT POST ON Investing in Troubled times at :

http://wiseinvestmentideas.blogspot.com/2011/06/art-of-investing-in-troubled-times.html

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CANARA BANK = RESULTS FOR = Q 3 FY 2011 = QTR ENDING DECEMBER 2010 =Q EPS RS.26.97 = ON GROWTH TRAJECTORY


CANARA BANK

Q3 FY 2011 RESULTS

Q/E DECEMBER 2010

CANARA BANK has declared results for Q3 FY 2011.

Interest on Advances is Rs.4326 Cr – up by 5.26% from Q2 FY 11 and by 24.63% from Q3 FY 10.

Income on Investments is Rs.1531 Cr – up by 8.06% from Q2 FY 11 and by 30.22% on Q3 FY 10.

Net Interest Income is Rs.2119 cr – up by 5.79% from Q2 FY 11 and by 43.41% from Q3 FY 10.

Total Income is Rs.6445 cr – up by 6.05% from Q2 FY 11 and by 17.84% from Q3 FY 10.

Operating Profit is Rs.1513 cr – up by 6.87% from Q2 FY 11 and by 2.93% from Q3 FY 10.

Provisions : is Rs.157.28 cr – compared to Rs.157.89 cr in  Q2 FY 11 and Rs.167.41 cr in Q3 FY 10.

% of Gross/Net NPA is slightly reduced to 1.05 from 1.34 in Q3 FY 10.

NET PROFIT  is Rs.1106 cr – up by 9.71% from Q2 FY 11 and by  5.05% from Q3 FY 10.

Capital Adequacy Ratio is very good at 13.02.

Return on Assets is very Good at 1.62.

Basic EPS     is Rs.26.97 – compared to Rs.24.58 in Q2 FY 11; Rs.24.72  in Q1 FY11; Rs.12.27 in Q4 FY 10; and Rs.25.67 in Q3 FY 10. The annual EPS can be around Rs.103.24.

Current MP is Rs.610. The PE Ratio works out to 5.9.

RESULTS TABLE :

CANARA BANK
31-Dec-10
30-Sep-10
30-Jun-10
31-Mar-10
31-Dec-09
Interest on Advances
432588
410956
379361
354541
347097
DIF %1
4326
5.26
14.03
22.01
24.63
Income on Investments
153075
141652
131937
118005
117555
DIF %2
1531
8.06
16.02
29.72
30.22
Income on Balances With RBI
5122
5126
4781
5432
4120
Others
9
10
9
1684
9
Interest Earned
590794
557744
516088
479662
468781
Other Income
53661
49962
73397
71010
78129
Total Income
644455
607706
589485
550672
546910
DIF%3
6445
6.05
9.33
17.03
17.84
Interest Expended
378871
357414
343305
319904
321002
NII
211923
200330
172783
159758
147779
DIF %4
2119
5.79
22.65
32.65
43.41
Employees Cost
78375
72744
66115
49805
47543
Other Operatng Expenses
35908
35971
31731
37916
31366
Operatng Expenses
114283
108715
97846
87721
78909
Operating Profit
151301
141577
148334
143047
146999
DIF %5
1513
6.87
2
5.77
2.93
Provisions
15728
15789
21997
72737
16741
Profit before tax
135573
125788
126337
70310
130258
Tax Expense
25000
25000
25000
20000
25000
Net Profit
110573
100788
101337
50310
105258
DIF %6
1106
9.71
9.11
119.78
5.05
Face Value (in Rs.)
10
10
10
10
10
Paid-up Equity
41000
41000
41000
41000
41000
Capital Adequacy Ratio
13.02
13.88
12.44
13.43
14.44
Basic EPS
26.97
24.58
24.72
12.27
25.67
Gross/Net NPA
199104
185967
172936
179970
197617
% of Gross/Net NPA
1.05
1.06
1
1.06
1.34
Return on Assets
1.62
1.52
1.55
0.87
1.85
Public holding (%)
26.83
26.83
26.83
26.83
26.83

Total business of the bank stood at Rs 4,53,379 crore, up by 27 per cent, year-on-year basis. While total deposits grew by 25 per cent to reach Rs 2,63,497 crore, net advances recorded a growth of 29 per cent to touch a level of Rs 1,89,882 crore.

Net Interest Margin stood at 3.21 per cent, up by 50 basis points while net interest income growth stood at 43.4 per cent.

Speaking on the bank's goals for fiscal year 2011, THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF CANARA BANK  said it aimed at reaching an aggregate business of Rs five lakh crore comprising total deposits of Rs 2,85,000 crore and advances of Rs 2,15,000 crore.

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ANDHRA BANK = RESULTS = FOR Q3 FY 2011 = QTR ENDING DECEMBER 2010 = NET PROFIT UP BY 20.16% = CONSISTENT GROWTH



ANDHRA BANK

Q3 FY 2011 RESULTS

FOR Q/E DECEMBER,2010


Andhra Bank has performed well in Q3 of FY 2011.

INTEREST ON ADVANCES : is Rs.1712 cr – up by 9.75% from Q2 FY11 and  by 31.61% from Q3 FY10.

Income on Investments : is Rs.401 cr – up by 7.38% from Q2 FY11 and by 33.39% from Q3 FY10.

Total Income : is Rs.2320 Cr – up by 8.81% from Q2 FY11 and by 27.01% from Q3 FY 2010.

Net Interest Income : is Rs.840 cr – up by 7.23% from Q2 FY11 and by 44.19% from Q3 FY 2010.

Operating Profit : is Rs.627 Cr – up by 10.99% from Q2 FY11, and by  30.05% from Q3 FY 2010.

NET PROFIT : is Rs.331 cr – up by 9.22 % from Q2 FY11 and by 20.16% from Q3 FY 2010.

Capital Adequacy Ratio is reasonable at 11.

% of Gross/Net NPA is comfortable at 0.47, though it has slightly risen from Q3 FY 10 level of 0.17.

Return on Assets is quite comfortable at 1.41.

Basic EPS : is Rs.6.82 against Rs.      6.25 in Q2 FY11 and Rs.5.68 in Q3 FY 2010. Thus, annual EPS will be around Rs.26.5. Current Market price is Rs.140.Hence current PE Ratio is around 5.28.

Andhra Bank has been a consistent performer and growing at a good Rate. It deserves better valuations.

RESULTS TABLE :

andhra bank
31-Dec-10
30-Sep-10
30-Jun-10
31-Mar-10
31-Dec-09
Interest on Advances
171217
156004.84
149919.44
137436.84
130097.18
DIF %1
1712
9.75
14.21
24.58
31.61
Income on Investments
40066
37312.73
35703.71
32732.5
30035.61
DIF %2
401
7.38
12.22
22.4
33.39
Income on Balances With RBI
875
797.93
758.08
456.37
123.55
Others
-
-
123.52
168.91
-
Interest Earned
212158
194115.5
186504.75
170794.62
160256.34
Other Income
19862
19117.03
20818.69
26910.52
22424.86
Total Income
232020
213232.53
207323.44
197705.14
182681.2
DIF %3
2320
8.81
11.91
17.36
27.01
Interest Expended
128165
115789.13
112880.38
105177.04
102003.11
NII
83993
78326.37
73624.37
65617.58
58253.23
DIF %4
840
7.23
14.08
28
44.19
Employees Cost
25950
26010.18
28698.25
24388.9
19729.95
Other Operatng Expenses
15244
14977.71
14705.17
15418.78
12766.88
Operatng Expenses
41194
40987.89
43403.42
39807.68
32496.83
Operating Profit
62661
56455.51
51039.64
52720.42
48181.26
DIF %5
627
10.99
22.77
18.86
30.05
Provisions
17170
11958.11
5198.79
22293.97
9642.23
Tax Expense
12400
14200
13800
6400
11000
Net Profit
33091
30297.4
32040.85
24026.45
27539.03
DIF %6
331
9.22
3.28
37.73
20.16
Face Value (in Rs.)
10
10
10
10
10
Paid-up Equity
48500
48500
48500
48500
48500
Capital Adequacy Ratio
11
12.19
12.9
13.3
13.82
Basic EPS
6.82
6.25
6.61
4.95
5.68
Gross/Net NPA
30813
29935.97
16976.48
9572
8791.87
 % of Gross/Net NPA
0.47
0.49
0.3
0.17
0.17
Return on Assets
1.41
1.37
1.47
1.14
1.45
Public holding (%)
48.45
48.45
48.45
48.45
48.45

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