NEWS &
VIEWS TODAY
12th, JUNE, 2012
S&P WARNS OF DOWNGRADE
TELECOM & AIRLINES INDUSTRIES
NEED IMMEDIATE REMEDIAL STEPS
FM SAYS - TURNAROUND THIS YEAR
RBI MUST GO FOR GOOD RATE CUT
1.
NEWS :- When S&P talks, Nations listen. S&P
presents FACTS and its considered opinions. But, it is not always in a hurry.
It takes time, watches and then puts on record its perceptions and its ratings.
And that is happening. S&P is to downgrade INDIA to BBB- with Negative
outlook, while all other BRIC countries retain their BBB Stable outlook and
china has a AA- with stable outlook.
VIEWS :-
Indian Governments – both Central and States – are unwilling to follow sound
governmental ethics and that is resulting in Indian economy hurtling downwards
month after month. The Centre’s UNPRODUCTIVE SCHEMES like NREGS are more than
matched by many states, which give huge doles, even when they have no money for
any worthwhile capital expenditure, which only can build the states in the long
term.
There
is no adequate willingness to infuse productivity into this otherwise
imaginative scheme. By all means, reach out to the poor, but make them BUILD
something good - for themselves and for the nation. Money should never be a
dole or charity.
Populism
reaches ridiculous heights in many states – and the lack of economic education
among people and the consequent lack of realization – that these populist
schemes are destroying the state – make the people elated about the populist
schemes. This is unfortunate.
There
is no worthwhile criticism of these schemes. And, if someone does criticize,
the governments use their Party muscle in all sorts of unfair ways. Governments
at centre and states are turning to
undemocratic means to gag criticism. Look at the way the centre tried to slap
cases against all members of Team Anna and Ram Devji – after their absolutely
peaceful protest against corruption and Black Money. Look at the way Mamata Banarjee tried to brand simple questioners as
CPM, Naxalites etc in an open TV show. This sort of intolerance does not augur well for
democracy.
Centre
had a golden opportunity to get the Lok Pal Bill passed and walk away with
credits. Even now, it is so. It must only withdraw all cases, stop its Digvijay
singhs from initiating wars of words frequently, and go ahead with passing of
Lok Pal bill with some understanding and give and take with at least the BJP.
Heavens will not fall to the ground if BJP’s views are accommodated in Lok Pal
Bill.
Bills
like Land acquisition Bill – with Pro Landowner clauses can be introduced and
passed in a day or two – but, it is not even being introduced. And, the Pro
land owner mindset is missing. You will deprive some one of his livelihood –
and do not want to compensate him adequately? Why? Industry can bear the cost.
After all, land cost is a small fraction of the total land cost. And, it is
better to get it quick without future hassles rather than too cheap.
Ditto
with Telecom tangle. Government’s thinking is likely to kill the industry ( and
the telecom consumers) with astronomical licence fees – simply being unable to
answer the CAG. Even here, there is no willingness to consult SC and CAG and
place before them Government’s own views and consumers’ interests.
Also, there
is no willingness to consult the Opposition. Why? And, the point of wonder is –
there is NO SIGNIFICANT REPRESENTATIVE OF CONSUMER INTEREST IN TELECOM! No one
sees anybody representing consumers – before the Supreme Court, before
Government, before TRAI, before DOT and in the Media! Absolutely surprising.
Ditto
with Airlines Industry. This blog has always maintained that reducing the taxes
by at least 50 % is the key to salvage the industry. Now, Jet Airlines Chief
Naresh Goyal says just the same thing. He says “ in fact, Indian fares are 200-300%,higher
compared with world’s other carriers, let alone the Chinese”, and he says India
is the only country to impose service tax on Airlines. The taxation is India is
much higher than in China and many other countries. Air India, King fisher, Jet
and all other Indian Airlines can be in good health, if only Government reduces
taxes of all kinds – on the Airlines Industry.
Even the Air Port and other
ground level support charges are ridiculously High in many Indian Air Ports. The
IATA chief, Tony Tyler has heavily criticized India for having trebled airport
charges – with a 346% increase in Delhi. And “Delhi Airport has to pay 46% of
its revenues to Government. This is neither in the interest of the Airlines nor
of the Airport”, the IATA chief has said. This is so at all Air Ports. The Air
Port should make revenues from VOLUMES – not from dwindling numbers of
INDIVIDUALS. It is unwise. Ditto goes for Governments.
The
Government must take a comprehensive look at all these points and make
corrections. The idea should not be MAXIMUM REVENUE for Government, but maximum number of Indians
travelling by Air. If this is ensured, revenues will flow in automatically.
The
trouble with Industry bodies in India is – they too don’t talk openly till it
is too late.
And
that has a lot to do – with Government’s mindset – of not tolerating criticism.
Criticism is Good – if you listen to it.
Bill Gates is famous for his sane words on this.
The
need for consumer bodies is more than highlighted for each of these Industries.
The
Finance Minister says – Turn around this year. He has listed a few factors, the
first being Rate cut. One wishes, RBI does go for a GOOD RATE CUT to spur
growth, as FM says optimistically. RBI
acted so fast in enhancing Rates every month last year– like never before since Independence
perhaps. Now, it is slow to bring Rates down in the same speed - when growth is
getting pulled down drastically every month. A good 3% Rate cut would propel
growth upwards fast.
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