Friday, January 20, 2012

AXIS BANK vs HDFC BANK = Q3 FY 2012 RESULTS COMPARISON = EXCELLENT GROWTH RATES FOR BOTH = NEED BETTER VALUATIONS


AXIS BANK  vs HDFC BANK

Q2 FY 2012 RESULTS COMPARISON

AXIS BANK  and HDFC BANK are 2 private Banks which have been performing very consistently and Growing very steadily over the last several quarters.

HDFC Bank is slightly Bigger, and manages to perform better in many quarters, though Axis Bank outwits it in some quarters. In each quarter also – there are some areas in which HDFC Bank performs better and in some other Areas, Axis Bank performs better.

A comparison of their performances gives an insight to Investors – about the relative strengths of not only these Banks – but also of the Banking Sector in general.

Here is a comparison of the performances of these 2 banks in Q3 FY 2012 ending Dec,2011.

Interest on Advances of Axis Bank stands at Rs.3963.56Cr having grown at 7.48% from previous qtr and 52.41% from Corresponding Qtr. The amount for HDFC Bank is Rs.5417.49 Cr, with 8.46% growth un Previous qtr and      37.14% in corresponding Qtr.

Income on Investments for AB (Axis Bank) stands at Rs.1775.23 cr ,up 14.63% from previous Qtr and  52.14% from corresponding Qtr. The same for HB (HDFC Bank) stands at  Rs.1747.57 cr, up by       8% from previous qtr and up by 42.56% from  corresponding Qtr.

Net Intt Income for AB stands at Rs.2140.30 cr, up by 6.63% from previous qtr and up by 23.49% from corresponding Qtr. The same for HB is Rs.3115.99 Cr, up by 5.82% from previous qtr and up by 12.22% from corresponding qtr.

Total Income of AB stands at Rs.7206.77 cr, up by 10.69% from previous qtr and up by         44.54% from corresponding Qtr. The same for HB is Rs.8622.64 cr – up by 8.74% from previous qtr and up by 35.62^ from corresponding qtr.

As these growth figures indicate very clearly, HDFC Bank is ahead of Axis in absolute numbers of Income Heads, but in growth percentages, Axis is scoring much better- and is closing the gap between the two.

But, total Expenditure excluding  provisions  for AB – stands at Rs.5147.57 cr, up by         8.71% from previous qtr, and up by 54.7% from corresponding qtr. The same for HB        stands at Rs.6244.61 cr, up by     7.6% in previous qtr and up by 45.73% from corresponding Qtr. Here, HB seems to control expdr better. Its growth is less in % terms.

Operating Profit of AB stands at Rs.2059.20 cr, up by 15.97% from previous Qtr and up by 24.16% from corresponding Qtr. The same for HB is Rs.2378.03 cr, up by 11.87% for previous Qtr and up by 14.73% for corresponding Qtr. At OPT level, the growth rates are more impressive for AB compared to HB.

Provisions for AB is at Rs.422.33 Cr, up by 4.13% from previous qtr and up by 34.55 from corresponding qtr. The same for HB is Rs.329.24 cr, down by -10.06% from previous qtr and down by  -29.33% from corresponding Qtr. HB is very impressive in regard to provisions compared to AB.

Profit  before tax (after provisions) stands at Rs.1636.87 cr for AB, up by  19.47% from previous qtr and up by 21.74% from corresponding qtr. The same for HB is  Rs.2048.79 cr, up by 16.43% from previous qtr and up by 27.51% from corresponding qtr. While both have scored above 20% growth – Growth of HB is much better due to lesser Provisions in the corresponding qtr.

Tax Expense for AB stands at Rs.534.60 cr, up by 18.87% from previous qtr; and up by         17.95% from corresponding Qtr. The same for HB  is Rs.619.13 Cr, up by 10.48% from previous qtr and up by 19.3% from corresponding Qtr.

Finally, at the Net Profit Level, the figure for AB is Rs.1102.27 cr , up by 19.77% from previous qtr; and up by 23.66% from corresponding qtr. The same for HB is Rs.1429.66 cr – up by 19.2% from previous qtr (almost same rate as for AB); and up by   31.42% from corresponding qtr (compared to 23.66% for AB). Thus, it seems, that Provisions has pulled down AB’s profits Growth below that of HB.

Capital Adequacy Ratio at 11.78 is adequate for AB, but it is going for augmenting its capital.      Axis Bank has passed a resolution approving Allotment of Unsecured Redeemable Non-Convertible Subordinated Debentures on private placement basis as the Bank's Lower Tier II capital aggregating to Rs. 1,500 crores (including green shoe option of Rs. 500 crores). This should see AB growing more rapidly in the next few qtrs. HDFC Bank has a CAR of 16.3, which should be good enough for some more time for it. So, both are keeping adequate Capital to service their operations.

Basic EPS of AB on a FV of Rs.10 is Rs.26.73; whereas the same for HB on a FV of Rs.2 is  6.1 (or Rs.30.5 on a FV of Rs.10). If Provisions come down for Axis Bank, this gap will be bridged.    

Gross/Net NPA for AB is higher at Rs.682.93 cr , while the same for HB is Rs.397.96 Cr.

The same as % terms is – the % of Gross/Net NPA       is at 0.39 for AB and  0.2 for HB. While it is veryLOW for both AB and HB, HB enjoys the edge here.

Return on Assets is an excellent  1.68 for Axis bank while the same is   0.5 for HDFC Bank.

The annualized EPS of Axis Bank for FY 2012 can be around Rs.99 to 100.While the same can be around Rs.22 x 5  = 110.

The  Current Market prices are Rs.1018 for Axis Bank and Rs.486.76 for HDFC Bank (FOR Rs.2 share; i.e.,r Rs.2433.75 for Rs.10 face value).

The PE ratio for Axis Bank is 1018/100 = 10.18.

The PE Ratio for HB is 486.75 /22 = 22.125.

Market will need to take a Good Re-look at these valuations and bring them a little closer (by upgrading Axis Bank more).

Both are excellent companies – growing at good growth rates, very consistently over several quarters Now.

RESULTS COMPARISON TABLE

AXIS BANK
31-Dec-11
%dif1
%dif2
HDFC BANK
31-Dec-11
%DIF1
%DIF2
Interest on Advances
396356
7.48
52.41
Interest on Advances
541749
8.46
37.14
Income on Investments
177523
14.63
52.14
Income on Investments
174757
8
42.56
Income on Balances With RBI
1547
38.5
-67.89
Income on Balances With RBI
3459
5.01
-33.11
Others
2270
-19.9
-0.22
Others
299
-95.83
46.57
Interest Earned
577696
9.5
50.51
Interest Earned
720264
7.22
37.72
Other Income
142981
15.78
24.58
Other Income
142000
17.19
25.91
Total Income
720677
10.69
44.54
Total Income
862264
8.74
35.62
Interest Expended
363666
11.26
72.75
Interest Expended
408665
8.31
66.58
Net Intt Income
214030
6.63
23.49
NET INTT INCOME
311599
5.82
12.22
Employees Cost
54204
8.71
36.82
Employees Cost
86742
5.38
19.64
Other Oprtng Expenses
96887
0.1
17.27
Other Oprtng Expenses
129054
6.9
16.6
Oprtng Expenses
151091
3.03
23.61
Oprtng Expenses
215796
6.28
17.8
Total Expdr excl provi.
514757
8.71
54.7
Total Expdr excl.provisions
624461
7.6
45.73
Operating Profit
205920
15.97
24.16
Operating Profit
237803
11.87
14.73
Provisions
42233
4.13
34.55
Provisions
32924
-10.06
-29.33
Profit  before tax
163687
19.47
21.74
Profit before tax
204879
16.43
27.51
Tax Expense
53460
18.87
17.95
Tax Expense
61913
10.48
19.3
Net Profit
110227
19.77
23.66
Net Profit
142966
19.2
31.42
Face Value(Rs.)
10
0
0
Face Value(Rs.)
2
0
-80
Paid-up Equity
41257
0.06
0.65
Paid-up Equity
46826
0.13
0.85
Capital Adequacy Ratio
11.78
3.79
-5.46
Capital Adequacy Ratio
16.3
-1.21
0
Basic EPS
26.73
19.7
22.78
Basic EPS
6.1
19.61

 Gross/Net NPA
68293
24.45
77.14
Gross/Net NPA
39796
12.02
20.35
% of Gross/Net NPA
0.39


% of Gross/Net NPA
0.2
0
0
Return on Assets
1.68
10.53
-4
Return on Assets
0.5
25
25

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